Tercera Division I - Galicia. Jor. 4

CD Lugo B vs Ourense CF analysis

CD Lugo B Ourense CF
25 ELO 37
-4.2% Tilt -3.7%
7937º General ELO ranking 3087º
318º Country ELO ranking 95º
ELO win probability
30.2%
CD Lugo B
25.4%
Draw
44.4%
Ourense CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
CD Lugo B
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.4%
Win probability
Ourense CF
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Lugo B
-17%
+73%
Ourense CF

ELO progression

CD Lugo B
Ourense CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Lugo B
CD Lugo B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2019
CHO
Choco
3 - 2
CD Lugo B
POL
56%
22%
23%
27 32 5 0
01 Sep. 2019
POL
CD Lugo B
2 - 0
Pontellas
PON
69%
17%
13%
27 18 9 0
25 Aug. 2019
ARO
Arosa
1 - 0
CD Lugo B
POL
42%
24%
34%
27 26 1 0
19 May. 2019
POL
CD Lugo B
2 - 2
UD Paiosaco
UPH
62%
20%
18%
28 24 4 -1
12 May. 2019
SIL
Silva SD
1 - 2
CD Lugo B
POL
38%
24%
38%
28 24 4 0

Matches

Ourense CF
Ourense CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2019
OUR
Ourense CF
5 - 1
Rápido de Bouzas
BOU
30%
28%
43%
34 39 5 0
01 Sep. 2019
DEP
Deportivo Fabril
2 - 0
Ourense CF
OUR
56%
22%
22%
36 36 0 -2
25 Aug. 2019
OUR
Ourense CF
3 - 0
Bergantiños FC
BER
41%
25%
33%
34 35 1 +2
14 Aug. 2019
OUR
Ourense CF
4 - 3
Coruxo
COX
20%
25%
55%
34 45 11 0
31 Jul. 2019
CEL
Celta Fortuna
1 - 0
Ourense CF
OUR
73%
18%
9%
34 48 14 0
X