Poltava vs Desna Chernihiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
35.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poltava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
TER
1 - 1
POL
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
POL
2 - 2
SUM
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
AVA
2 - 1
POL
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
NAF
1 - 1
POL
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
POL
3 - 0
STA
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Desna Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
DES
1 - 2
DYN
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
NAF
1 - 1
DES
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
HEL
1 - 1
DES
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
DES
2 - 1
NAF
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
DES
4 - 2
STA
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |