Polonia Warszawa vs Warta Poznan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 1
POL
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
STA
0 - 1
POL
36%
26%
39%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
POL
3 - 4
ODR
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
TSP
1 - 1
POL
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
RAK
3 - 1
POL
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Warta Poznan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
WAR
1 - 3
ODR
27%
27%
47%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
TSP
1 - 2
WAR
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
WAR
1 - 0
GKS
27%
25%
47%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
WAR
2 - 2
LKS
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
SLA
3 - 3
WAR
78%
16%
6%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | 0 |