Polonia U21 vs Lituania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
POL
3 - 1
GRC
32%
26%
43%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
MLT
1 - 5
POL
12%
19%
68%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
TUR
1 - 0
POL
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
POL
2 - 0
SWE
27%
25%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
POR
6 - 1
POL
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Lituania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 0
LVA
43%
27%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
UKR
4 - 1
LTU
81%
14%
5%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 0
MDA
34%
27%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RUS
3 - 0
LTU
86%
11%
4%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 2
LVA
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |