Polonia Środa vs Starogard Gdański analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Środa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
PSR
4 - 1
UNI
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
KOS
1 - 1
PSR
14%
21%
66%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
PSR
2 - 2
NOW
58%
21%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
TKP
2 - 4
PSR
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
PSR
1 - 2
STA
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Starogard Gdański
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
KSG
2 - 2
KOS
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
NOW
2 - 0
KSG
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
KSG
4 - 3
TKP
33%
26%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
STA
1 - 0
KSG
64%
22%
14%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
KSG
1 - 1
PSZ
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |