Policia SP vs Hoi Fan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
VCM
5 - 4
PSP
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
HLM
1 - 1
PSP
41%
25%
35%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
PSP
1 - 1
MAC
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
PSP
4 - 1
HFM
45%
25%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GDA
3 - 2
PSP
41%
25%
35%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hoi Fan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
WAK
6 - 1
HFM
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
HFM
0 - 3
GLP
45%
23%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
GDA
2 - 0
HFM
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
PSP
4 - 1
HFM
45%
25%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
HFM
4 - 3
VCM
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |