Police XI vs Notwane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
GAL
2 - 2
POL
60%
24%
16%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
POL
2 - 1
MIS
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 1
POL
50%
27%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
POL
3 - 2
GAB
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 0
POL
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Notwane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
NOT
0 - 0
BOT
33%
28%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SSS
0 - 2
NOT
70%
19%
12%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
CEN
2 - 2
NOT
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
TOW
1 - 1
NOT
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
NOT
0 - 1
SES
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |