Police XI vs Gaborone United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2017 |
GAL
3 - 2
POL
51%
25%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
POL
1 - 2
BLF
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
ORA
1 - 1
POL
49%
26%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
NIC
3 - 0
POL
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
POL
1 - 0
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gaborone United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2017 |
GAB
1 - 0
NIC
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
GAB
47%
27%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
GAB
1 - 1
UHM
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GAB
3 - 1
GRE
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SES
0 - 0
GAB
53%
25%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |