Polan vs Poligono Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
62.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+881%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MEN
0 - 0
POL
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ORG
1 - 0
POL
68%
18%
14%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
CDL
33%
24%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 1
POL
15%
18%
67%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
POL
1 - 0
CON
32%
24%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Poligono Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PTO
2 - 1
CDL
55%
22%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 0
PTO
6%
13%
81%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PTO
2 - 1
CON
64%
19%
16%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 0
PTO
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PTO
3 - 1
URD
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |