Point Fortin vs La Horquetta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Point Fortin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
POI
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
POI
2 - 2
PSE
84%
12%
4%
|
52 | 15 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
DEF
3 - 1
POI
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CUN
0 - 2
POI
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
POI
0 - 0
CEN
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
La Horquetta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
POL
1 - 0
LHR
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
LHR
2 - 4
DEF
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
CON
0 - 4
LHR
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
LHR
45%
25%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
LHR
4 - 1
PSE
87%
9%
3%
|
59 | 15 | 44 | +1 |