Pogradeci vs Tepelena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
4º
2º
24
9º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LFC
0 - 0
POG
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
POG
4 - 1
SHK
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 2
POG
13%
21%
66%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
POG
3 - 1
MEM
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BUT
0 - 2
POG
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Tepelena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TEP
0 - 1
LUF
14%
20%
66%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
DEV
4 - 1
TEP
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
LFC
1 - 0
TEP
83%
12%
5%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TEP
1 - 4
SHK
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 0
TEP
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |