Pogoń Mogilno vs Lech Poznań II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
46.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogoń Mogilno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2015 |
USW
2 - 4
PMO
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
PMO
0 - 0
CEN
47%
23%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
PMO
4 - 1
CHE
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
WAR
3 - 1
PMO
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
PMO
3 - 5
PSR
39%
24%
38%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lech Poznań II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2015 |
LPO
6 - 1
CHE
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
WAR
1 - 0
LPO
65%
18%
16%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
LPO
2 - 2
PSR
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
VWR
2 - 5
LPO
20%
21%
59%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
LPO
5 - 0
WLO
88%
9%
4%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |