Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs FSC Mariupol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
3º
3º
28
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 16 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 16 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 14 |
4º
|
67% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 13 |
5º
|
67% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 4 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
MYK
0 - 1
POK
42%
29%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
POK
2 - 3
MEZ
59%
25%
17%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
FCD
1 - 1
POK
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
POK
1 - 1
KRE
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FYM
0 - 2
POK
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FSC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
FYM
2 - 3
PRY
27%
26%
48%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FYM
2 - 0
MIN
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
NYV
2 - 3
FYM
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FYM
0 - 2
POK
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
PRY
0 - 0
FYM
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |