PMD Aljaraque vs Hinojos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
76.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PMD Aljaraque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TRI
7 - 0
ALJ
77%
15%
9%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALJ
0 - 1
EST
23%
21%
56%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MOG
5 - 0
ALJ
79%
14%
8%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ALJ
2 - 5
CAN
27%
21%
53%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BEA
5 - 2
ALJ
65%
18%
17%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hinojos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
EST
0 - 2
HIN
27%
21%
52%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HIN
1 - 2
MAZ
52%
21%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
HIN
3 - 4
ILI
8%
15%
78%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | +8 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CAT
4 - 1
HIN
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
HIN
2 - 4
EBR
23%
23%
54%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |