PMD Aljaraque vs Atlético Cruceño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PMD Aljaraque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 1
ALJ
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ALJ
3 - 2
RIO
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ZAL
1 - 3
ALJ
18%
20%
63%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ALJ
3 - 1
BEA
43%
22%
34%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
ADC
1 - 4
ALJ
30%
22%
48%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Cruceño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CRU
5 - 1
ICR
32%
25%
43%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 1
CRU
38%
25%
37%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CRU
2 - 3
REP
26%
24%
50%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CRU
2 - 0
CDP
39%
24%
38%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
OCF
0 - 0
CRU
22%
23%
56%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |