Wisła Płock vs Motor Lublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisła Płock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
PLO
2 - 0
WIG
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
PLO
4 - 1
POD
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
GDA
0 - 1
PLO
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
PLO
0 - 1
GÓR
32%
27%
42%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
PLO
0 - 0
POG
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
MOT
3 - 3
POG
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
POL
1 - 1
MOT
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
MOT
1 - 0
LPO
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
GKS
2 - 1
MOT
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MOT
3 - 0
HUT
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |