Plaza Colonia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
42.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
PLA
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
CSY
1 - 3
PLA
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PLA
1 - 0
TOR
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 0
PLA
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
PLA
1 - 0
RIV
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
CEL
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
SUD
65%
20%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
ARG
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 3
NAC
28%
28%
45%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
UCO
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |