Plaza Colonia vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
CER
1 - 0
PLA
35%
28%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PLA
1 - 1
FEN
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
PLA
3 - 0
ZAM
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 2
PLA
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
LFC
1 - 0
PLA
61%
22%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
DEF
0 - 2
TOR
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
DEF
2 - 1
PEÑ
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MWA
0 - 0
DEF
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 4
PRO
44%
26%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -2 |