VFC Plauen vs Oberlausitz Neugersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
3º
16º
4º
24
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VFC Plauen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
EWD
3 - 2
PLA
27%
20%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 1
EIN
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
WAC
3 - 3
PLA
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
3 - 0
VFL
53%
22%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BIS
0 - 0
PLA
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OBE
0 - 0
AUE
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 0
OBE
47%
24%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OBE
0 - 4
SVB
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LFC
0 - 0
OBE
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
OBE
1 - 0
SVW
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |