PKC .83 vs Leeuwarder Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
29%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
14º
7º
27
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 82% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PKC .83
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TFE
0 - 4
PKC
6%
11%
83%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PKC
3 - 1
BRO
19%
20%
62%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ORA
3 - 3
PKC
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PKC
0 - 6
HOO
18%
18%
64%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PKC
0 - 4
BLA
20%
19%
61%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LEE
0 - 2
BLA
25%
21%
54%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ONS
2 - 2
LEE
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LEE
4 - 2
GOR
59%
19%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PEL
7 - 2
LEE
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LEE
2 - 2
WIN
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |