Serie D round 34

Pistoiese vs Castenaso Vill… analysis

Pistoiese Castenaso Vill…
42 ELO 20
-6.3% Tilt -0.6%
7295º General ELO ranking 24401º
234º Country ELO ranking 691º
ELO win probability
79.5%
Pistoiese
13.6%
Draw
6.9%
Castenaso Vill…

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
Pistoiese
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
6.9%
Win probability
Castenaso Vill…
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Pistoiese
Castenaso Vill…
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pistoiese
Pistoiese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2013
VIR
Virtus Pavullese
0 - 0
Pistoiese
PIS
12%
20%
68%
43 22 21 0
21 Apr. 2013
PIS
Pistoiese
4 - 3
Bagnolese
BAG
82%
13%
5%
43 20 23 0
14 Apr. 2013
ASL
Lucchese Libertas
2 - 2
Pistoiese
PIS
59%
23%
19%
42 49 7 +1
06 Apr. 2013
PIS
Pistoiese
3 - 0
SPAL
SPA
25%
25%
50%
41 51 10 +1
28 Mar. 2013
ROS
Rosignano
0 - 2
Pistoiese
PIS
12%
20%
68%
40 20 20 +1

Matches

Castenaso Vill…
Castenaso Vill…
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2013
CAS
Castenaso Vill…
0 - 3
San Miniato Tu…
SAN
17%
22%
61%
22 43 21 0
21 Apr. 2013
RIC
Riccione
2 - 0
Castenaso Vill…
CAS
66%
18%
16%
22 29 7 0
14 Apr. 2013
CAS
Castenaso Vill…
1 - 1
Massese
MAS
16%
20%
64%
21 39 18 +1
07 Apr. 2013
VIR
Virtus Pavullese
4 - 1
Castenaso Vill…
CAS
39%
24%
37%
23 20 3 -2
28 Mar. 2013
SPA
SPAL
3 - 2
Castenaso Vill…
CAS
77%
16%
7%
23 51 28 0