Pistoiese vs Castenaso Vill… analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 0
PIS
12%
20%
68%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PIS
4 - 3
BAG
82%
13%
5%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ASL
2 - 2
PIS
59%
23%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
PIS
3 - 0
SPA
25%
25%
50%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ROS
0 - 2
PIS
12%
20%
68%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Castenaso Vill…
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 3
SAN
17%
22%
61%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
RIC
2 - 0
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 1
MAS
16%
20%
64%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
VIR
4 - 1
CAS
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SPA
3 - 2
CAS
77%
16%
7%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | 0 |