Pistoiese vs Calcio Certaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+174%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
15º
15º
27
16º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 45 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
94% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
94% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
IMO
2 - 0
PIS
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PIS
2 - 1
PRO
72%
20%
9%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
PIS
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
VIV
1 - 1
PIS
11%
15%
74%
|
46 | 13 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PIS
0 - 0
MEZ
61%
24%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Certaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
CER
0 - 1
FAN
14%
18%
68%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BSD
2 - 0
CER
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CER
1 - 0
ACP
7%
13%
80%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | +6 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
CER
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CER
0 - 1
IMO
10%
16%
75%
|
11 | 44 | 33 | 0 |