Serie B round 3

Pisa SC vs Parma analysis

Pisa SC Parma
75 ELO 80
1.5% Tilt -5%
193º General ELO ranking 83º
26º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
37.6%
Pisa SC
26.3%
Draw
36.1%
Parma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
Pisa SC
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.1%
Win probability
Parma
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pisa SC
+10%
+5%
Parma

Points and table prediction

Pisa SC
Their league position
Parma
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
16º
13º
76
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Parma
76
76
100%
Como
73
73
100%
Venezia
70
70
100%
Cremonese
67
67
100%
Catanzaro
60
60
100%
Sampdoria
55
57
100%
Palermo FC
56
56
100%
Brescia
51
51
100%
Cosenza
47
47
100%
FC Südtirol
10º
47
47
10º
100%
Modena
11º
47
47
11º
100%
Reggiana
12º
47
47
12º
100%
Pisa SC
13º
46
46
13º
100%
Cittadella
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Spezia
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Ternana Calcio
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Ascoli
17º
41
41
17º
0%
SSC Bari
18º
41
41
18º
0%
Feralpisalò
19º
33
33
19º
100%
Lecco
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Pisa SC
Parma
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Pisa SC
Parma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pisa SC
Pisa SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2023
SAM
Sampdoria
0 - 2
Pisa SC
PIS
51%
25%
24%
75 76 1 0
18 Aug. 2023
PIS
Pisa SC
1 - 0
Carrarese
CAR
80%
14%
6%
74 53 21 +1
11 Aug. 2023
FRO
Frosinone
1 - 0
Pisa SC
PIS
65%
19%
15%
75 82 7 -1
05 Aug. 2023
COM
Como
1 - 1
Pisa SC
PIS
37%
26%
38%
75 71 4 0
27 Jul. 2023
PIS
Pisa SC
4 - 0
Fiorenzuola
FIO
87%
10%
3%
75 44 31 0

Matches

Parma
Parma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2023
PAR
Parma
2 - 0
Cittadella
CTT
51%
27%
22%
79 75 4 0
20 Aug. 2023
PAR
Parma
2 - 0
Feralpisalò
FER
70%
21%
10%
79 64 15 0
12 Aug. 2023
BAR
SSC Bari
0 - 3
Parma
PAR
44%
25%
32%
78 76 2 +1
06 Aug. 2023
ELC
Elche
1 - 1
Parma
PAR
45%
25%
30%
78 78 0 0
02 Aug. 2023
PAR
Parma
1 - 0
Sassuolo
SAS
21%
24%
55%
78 84 6 0