Pinzón CD vs Castilleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinzón CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 1
ALM
38%
23%
39%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
CDP
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CDP
3 - 1
CDR
35%
24%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CAC
5 - 2
CDP
35%
23%
42%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CDP
0 - 2
REC
40%
24%
36%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIS
52%
24%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
UTR
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
CAS
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
UDT
37%
24%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CDR
1 - 0
CAS
37%
24%
38%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |