Pinhalnovense vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 0
ARM
83%
11%
5%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ALJ
1 - 0
PIN
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 1
ALM
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 0
PIN
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 3
FAB
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MOU
1 - 2
LUS
42%
26%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FAB
1 - 2
MOU
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MOU
1 - 1
VIA
69%
18%
14%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MOU
1 - 2
LOU
44%
27%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FAR
1 - 0
MOU
68%
21%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |