Pinhalnovense vs Armacenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ALJ
1 - 0
PIN
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 1
ALM
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 0
PIN
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 3
FAB
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 0
PIN
43%
27%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Armacenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ARM
1 - 1
VIA
20%
20%
60%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ARM
4 - 4
ALJ
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ALM
0 - 1
ARM
88%
9%
4%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 1
LUS
9%
14%
76%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FAB
3 - 1
ARM
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |