Piera vs Joanenc analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
58.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
FAT
2 - 1
PIE
40%
22%
38%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
PIE
3 - 3
BER
47%
22%
32%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
UEA
1 - 0
PIE
44%
21%
35%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
PIE
2 - 2
FCS
59%
19%
22%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SBN
2 - 4
PIE
40%
21%
39%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Joanenc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
VCA
0 - 2
JOA
18%
22%
60%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
JOA
1 - 0
FAT
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
BER
0 - 1
JOA
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
JOA
3 - 0
UEA
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
FCS
2 - 1
JOA
19%
21%
60%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |