Pianese vs Fiorenzuola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 1
PIA
26%
26%
49%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PIA
2 - 3
COR
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
PIA
0 - 0
SPO
68%
18%
13%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
PIA
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
PIA
2 - 0
FCV
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
FIO
27%
26%
48%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
FIO
0 - 1
RIM
22%
24%
54%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
FIO
3 - 1
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
FIO
27%
26%
47%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
FIO
0 - 1
SDT
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |