Piacenza vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 0
PIA
20%
27%
52%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PIA
1 - 1
FRO
52%
23%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SIR
3 - 0
PIA
21%
27%
52%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PIA
0 - 3
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PER
0 - 2
PIA
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 0
USC
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BV5
2 - 0
TRI
27%
27%
47%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 2
FCS
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TRI
3 - 2
PER
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
POR
3 - 1
TRI
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |