Piacenza vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 0
PIA
88%
9%
3%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
PIA
3 - 2
JS2
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
LEO
0 - 2
PIA
51%
26%
24%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PIA
1 - 3
ABN
42%
28%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PER
0 - 1
PIA
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
PON
5 - 1
PER
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
PER
0 - 0
GER
43%
26%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
PER
64%
22%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PER
0 - 1
PIA
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
REN
2 - 0
PER
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |