Piacenza vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
PIA
6 - 0
PRO
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
COM
0 - 0
PIA
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
GER
2 - 0
PIA
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
USA
2 - 0
PIA
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
PIA
0 - 3
PRO
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
GRO
1 - 1
NOV
25%
24%
52%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
ABN
47%
27%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 2
REN
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
LEC
1 - 0
NOV
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 1
JS2
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |