Piacenza vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
PIA
1 - 1
MOD
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
MOD
1 - 0
PIA
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
BAR
3 - 1
PIA
71%
20%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
PIA
1 - 3
PAR
43%
30%
27%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
EMP
3 - 0
PIA
52%
29%
19%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
ROM
1 - 0
ASL
91%
7%
2%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
VNZ
0 - 0
ASL
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
ASL
3 - 1
VNZ
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
ASL
2 - 1
PAD
49%
29%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
BRE
2 - 1
ASL
46%
30%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |