Piacenza vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
PIA
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 1
CAR
83%
13%
5%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 2
PIA
12%
20%
68%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
PIA
3 - 1
MAP
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PON
0 - 3
PIA
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 0
FOL
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CIS
1 - 3
LEC
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 0
VBE
65%
18%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
INV
4 - 2
LEC
22%
21%
57%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 2
LEC
23%
25%
52%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |