Piacenza vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
ABN
2 - 0
PIA
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
PIA
3 - 4
MAN
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 0
PIA
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2007 |
PIA
5 - 1
MOD
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
PIA
3 - 0
FRO
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
CRO
0 - 0
BRE
31%
25%
43%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2007 |
BRE
2 - 0
TRI
58%
25%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
BRE
1 - 0
ARZ
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 1
BRE
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
BRE
0 - 2
RIM
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |