Piacenza vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PIA
0 - 0
TRE
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
PIA
1 - 0
REG
28%
25%
48%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
PIA
2 - 3
PER
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 0
PIA
88%
9%
3%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
PIA
3 - 2
JS2
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
GER
52%
24%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LEG
1 - 1
MAN
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PON
1 - 3
MAN
44%
24%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
CES
1 - 2
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 0
MAN
89%
8%
3%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |