Philadelphia Union vs St. Louis City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.9%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
9.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
14.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
16.4%
3-0
18.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.3%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.8%
6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
6%
1.1%
Win probability
0.21
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PHU
3 - 2
AUS
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LAN
3 - 3
PHU
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
PHU
3 - 1
NYC
48%
25%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
PHU
1 - 0
CIN
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PHU
4 - 0
TOR
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |