Philadelphia Union vs New York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
PHU
1 - 1
CIN
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
NER
1 - 1
PHU
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
POR
0 - 2
PHU
43%
25%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
PHU
0 - 0
IMI
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PHU
1 - 1
RBN
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
RBN
3 - 0
NYC
32%
27%
42%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
NYC
1 - 1
COR
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
MIN
0 - 1
NYC
30%
26%
45%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
NYC
1 - 0
NER
49%
22%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
NYC
1 - 0
CFS
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |