Philadelphia Union vs Cincinnati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
NER
1 - 1
PHU
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
POR
0 - 2
PHU
43%
25%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
PHU
0 - 0
IMI
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PHU
1 - 1
RBN
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
ORL
2 - 1
PHU
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
MON
4 - 3
CIN
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
CIN
2 - 3
NER
15%
20%
64%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CFS
1 - 2
CIN
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
NER
5 - 1
CIN
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MIN
0 - 1
CIN
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |