Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 2
PHU
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
PHU
3 - 0
POR
45%
24%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
DCU
0 - 1
PHU
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
PHU
1 - 0
RBN
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
PHU
1 - 1
NER
56%
23%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
COC
2 - 0
CFS
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
COC
2 - 1
TOR
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
NYC
1 - 2
COC
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
NER
1 - 0
COC
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 0
COC
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |