Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
PHU
1 - 1
KCW
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
NER
1 - 2
PHU
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
DCU
2 - 0
PHU
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
PHU
1 - 1
COR
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2010 |
PHU
1 - 1
RSL
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2010 |
CFS
0 - 0
TOR
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
CFS
1 - 1
GAL
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SES
2 - 1
CFS
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
HOD
4 - 3
CFS
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
CFS
2 - 1
NER
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |