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B PFG. Matchday 15

Montana vs Marek analysis

Montana Marek
47 ELO 33
-30% Tilt 44%
1083º General ELO ranking 3903º
11º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
34.4%
Montana
27.2%
Draw
38.5%
Marek

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
Montana
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.5%
Win probability
Marek
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montana
-27%
-52%
Marek

Basic stats

1
0
GF
0
1
GC
47
33
ELO
1.2
1.3
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Montana
Their league position
Marek
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
15º
36
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Septemvri Sofia
70
74
24%
Spartak Varna
70
74
19%
Hebar Pazardzhik
70
74
17%
Etar
68
73
46%
FK Minyor Pernik
63
67
47%
Ludogorets II
61
66
64%
Montana
58
61
100%
Strumska Slava
54
57
96%
Maritsa Plovdiv
50
54
99%
Sportist Svoge
10º
48
51
10º
74%
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
11º
45
48
11º
36%
Dobrudzha Dobrich
12º
45
48
12º
31%
Litex Lovech
13º
45
48
13º
32%
Yantra Gabrovo
14º
40
42
14º
44%
Sozopol
15º
39
42
15º
35%
Botev Plovdiv II
16º
38
41
16º
35%
Marek
17º
36
38
18º
0%
Septemvri Simitli
18º
33
36
19º
21%
Levski 2020 Lom
19º
8
10
20º
0%
Neftochimik
20º
0
40
17º
15%
Expected probabilities
Montana
Marek
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 73%
Relegation
0% 27%

ELO progression

Montana
MON
Marek
MAR
Neftochimik
NEF
Ludogorets II
LUD
Sportist Svoge
SPO
Levski 2020 Lom
LKL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montana
Montana
1%
X%
2%
ELO MON ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2021
MON
Montana
1 - 0
Marek
MAR
57%
24%
19%
859 425 434 +2
23 Oct. 2021
SPO
Sportist Svoge
1 - 3
Montana
MON
35%
27%
38%
856 352 -504 +3
18 Oct. 2021
MON
Montana
1 - 0
Botev Plovdiv II
BPL
53%
24%
22%
854 519 335 +2
02 Oct. 2021
SOZ
Sozopol
1 - 0
Montana
MON
35%
27%
38%
858 330 -528 -4
26 Sep. 2021
MON
Montana
0 - 2
Etar
ETA
45%
27%
28%
862 889 -27 -4

Matches

Marek
Marek
1%
X%
2%
ELO MAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2021
MON
Montana
1 - 0
Marek
MAR
57%
24%
19%
425 859 434 -2
22 Oct. 2021
MAR
Marek
0 - 1
Levski 2020 Lom
LKL
49%
26%
25%
428 314 114 -3
16 Oct. 2021
SPO
Sportist Svoge
2 - 0
Marek
MAR
42%
28%
31%
432 348 -84 -4
02 Oct. 2021
MAR
Marek
1 - 1
Dobrudzha Dobrich
DOB
53%
25%
22%
433 254 179 0
26 Sep. 2021
BPL
Botev Plovdiv II
1 - 0
Marek
MAR
48%
27%
26%
435 520 85 -2