Montana vs Botev Vratsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
SSO
1 - 1
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
MON
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
CSK
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LSO
2 - 0
MON
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ARS
4 - 0
MON
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
BVR
3 - 0
CHE
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BVR
0 - 3
FCT
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ARK
3 - 2
BVR
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
BVR
1 - 2
BER
29%
27%
45%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
LOV
2 - 1
BVR
33%
24%
43%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |