Pevidém vs Braganca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
9º
3º
18
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pevidém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PEV
3 - 1
DUM
41%
22%
36%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PEV
1 - 0
MON
61%
20%
20%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 2
PEV
42%
25%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
PEV
0 - 1
BRI
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 1
PEV
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 3
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 0
BRA
57%
21%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
BRA
80%
14%
7%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 2
VIL
26%
23%
51%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VIA
2 - 0
BRA
67%
20%
12%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |