Peterhead vs Dundee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 1
PET
42%
25%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
PET
2 - 0
FOR
51%
24%
26%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
PET
26%
24%
51%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
AYR
2 - 1
PET
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
PET
1 - 4
AYR
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
DUN
6 - 2
DUM
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 1
DUN
19%
22%
59%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
ALL
1 - 1
DUN
11%
19%
71%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
DUM
1 - 2
DUN
20%
22%
58%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ICT
4 - 0
DUN
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |