Peterborough United vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
MAC
1 - 1
POS
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
POS
2 - 2
LIN
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2000 |
STF
0 - 1
POS
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
POS
2 - 0
YOR
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
CHE
2 - 1
POS
43%
26%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
CUM
3 - 1
BAR
32%
29%
40%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
YOR
1 - 1
CUM
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
LIN
5 - 0
CUM
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
CUM
1 - 1
STF
37%
28%
35%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
ROT
4 - 2
CUM
71%
19%
11%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | -1 |