Pesch vs Hürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
52%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SIE
2 - 0
PES
49%
22%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
FVW
6 - 1
PES
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
PES
0 - 4
TMA
88%
8%
4%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
HRH
1 - 3
PES
8%
15%
78%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
PES
5 - 2
SPF
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
HUR
1 - 1
EUR
39%
23%
38%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
HUR
5 - 0
SIE
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
BER
2 - 2
HUR
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
HUR
0 - 1
H05
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
VIA
1 - 2
HUR
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |