Perun vs Velbazhd Kyustendil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
NAD
1 - 0
PEK
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
PEK
0 - 1
VIH
8%
14%
78%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BAL
7 - 1
PEK
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
PEK
0 - 3
SLI
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
PEK
0 - 2
PIR
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Velbazhd Kyustendil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 2
MAR
9%
15%
76%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 4
NAD
17%
19%
63%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
VIH
2 - 0
VEL
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 4
BAL
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 0
SLI
16%
20%
64%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |