Perun vs Oborishte analysis


43	ELO	46
1.2%	Tilt	-5.9%
33768º	General ELO ranking	7805º
202º	Country ELO ranking	76º
ELO win probability

37%

Perun

25.3%

Draw

37.7%

Oborishte

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

37%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%

25.3%

Draw

0-0

6.1%

1-1

11.9%

2-2

5.8%

3-3

1.3%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

25.3%

37.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Perun

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
28 Aug. 2011	PIR 1 - 1 PEK 59% 22% 19%	41	46	5
21 Aug. 2011	PEK 1 - 0 MIN 66% 20% 15%	41	32	9
04 Jun. 2011	PEK 5 - 0 BEP 68% 18% 14%	41	31	10
29 May. 2011	AVA 0 - 4 PEK 15% 21% 65%	41	9	32
25 May. 2011	PEK 9 - 0 BOT 78% 14% 8%	41	14	27