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Bulgaria Third Division. Sur-Oeste, Matchday 23

Perun vs Marek analysis

Perun Marek
15 ELO 27
-52% Tilt 29%
25695º General ELO ranking 5864º
230º Country ELO ranking 54º
ELO win probability
16.5%
Perun
27.6%
Draw
55.9%
Marek

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
Perun
0.62
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
55.9%
Win probability
Marek
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
18.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
13%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Perun
-37%
+98%
Marek

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Marek
82
82
50%
Kyustendil
82
82
50%
Belasitsa
78
78
100%
Vihren
75
75
100%
Oborishte
60
60
100%
Balkan Botevgrad
58
58
100%
Chavdar Etropole
51
51
100%
Botev Ihtiman
46
46
100%
Pirin Gotse Delchev
45
45
100%
Pirin Razlog
10º
41
41
10º
100%
Slivnishki Geroy
11º
36
36
12º
50%
Nadezhda Dobroslavtsi
12º
36
36
11º
50%
Rilski Sportist
13º
34
34
13º
33%
Bansko
14º
34
34
14º
33%
Levski Chepintsi
15º
34
34
15º
33%
Granit Vladaya
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Perun
17º
22
22
17º
100%
Velbazhd Kyustendil
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Perun
Marek
Champion
0% 50%
Mid-table
0% 50%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Marek
MAR
Perun
PEK
Pirin Razlog
PIR
Granit Vladaya
GRV
Pirin Gotse Delchev
PIR
Rilski Sportist
RIL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Perun
Perun
1%
X%
2%
ELO PEK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2021
PEK
Perun
2 - 0
Velbazhd Kyustendil
VEL
46%
27%
27%
214 224 -10 +2
13 Mar. 2021
NAD
Nadezhda Dobroslavtsi
1 - 0
Perun
PEK
44%
27%
29%
215 238 23 -1
06 Mar. 2021
PEK
Perun
0 - 1
Vihren
VIH
39%
28%
33%
216 408 -192 -1
24 Feb. 2021
PEK
Perun
0 - 3
Slivnishki Geroy
SLI
45%
27%
28%
221 316 -95 -2
28 Nov. 2020
PEK
Perun
0 - 2
Pirin Razlog
PIR
46%
27%
28%
223 275 -52 -2

Matches

Marek
Marek
1%
X%
2%
ELO MAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2021
MAR
Marek
3 - 2
Oborishte
OBO
46%
27%
27%
342 361 -19 +1
13 Mar. 2021
VEL
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 - 2
Marek
MAR
45%
27%
28%
340 226 -114 +2
06 Mar. 2021
MAR
Marek
3 - 0
Kyustendil
FKK
47%
27%
26%
338 294 44 +2
24 Feb. 2021
MAR
Marek
6 - 0
Levski Chepintsi
LCH
48%
27%
26%
336 251 85 +3
19 Jan. 2021
OFK
Pirin Blagoevgrad
5 - 1
Marek
MAR
53%
25%
23%
357 703 346 -34