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Bulgaria Third Division. Sur-Oeste, Matchday 13

Perun vs Kyustendil analysis

Perun Kyustendil
16 ELO 21
-35% Tilt 22%
25702º General ELO ranking 7233º
230º Country ELO ranking 66º
ELO win probability
26.8%
Perun
28.7%
Draw
44.5%
Kyustendil

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
Perun
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
44.5%
Win probability
Kyustendil
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Perun
-12%
+64%
Kyustendil

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Marek
82
82
50%
Kyustendil
82
82
50%
Belasitsa
78
78
100%
Vihren
75
75
100%
Oborishte
60
60
100%
Balkan Botevgrad
58
58
100%
Chavdar Etropole
51
51
100%
Botev Ihtiman
46
46
100%
Pirin Gotse Delchev
45
45
100%
Pirin Razlog
10º
41
41
10º
100%
Slivnishki Geroy
11º
36
36
12º
50%
Nadezhda Dobroslavtsi
12º
36
36
11º
50%
Rilski Sportist
13º
34
34
13º
33%
Bansko
14º
34
34
14º
33%
Levski Chepintsi
15º
34
34
15º
33%
Granit Vladaya
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Perun
17º
22
22
17º
100%
Velbazhd Kyustendil
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Perun
Kyustendil
Champion
0% 50%
Mid-table
0% 50%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Perun
PEK
Kyustendil
FKK
Rilski Sportist
RIL
Oborishte
OBO
Belasitsa
BEL
Chavdar Etropole
CHA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Perun
Perun
1%
X%
2%
ELO PEK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2020
LCH
Levski Chepintsi
3 - 3
Perun
PEK
47%
27%
26%
227 254 27 0
17 Oct. 2020
PEK
Perun
1 - 0
Granit Vladaya
GRV
45%
27%
28%
225 261 -36 +1
10 Oct. 2020
BAN
Bansko
2 - 2
Perun
PEK
49%
26%
25%
225 341 116 0
03 Oct. 2020
PEK
Perun
0 - 4
Pirin Gotse Delchev
PIR
41%
28%
31%
228 287 -59 -2
26 Sep. 2020
CHA
Chavdar Etropole
3 - 1
Perun
PEK
47%
27%
26%
229 358 129 -2

Matches

Kyustendil
Kyustendil
1%
X%
2%
ELO FKK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2020
FKK
Kyustendil
3 - 0
Velbazhd Kyustendil
VEL
47%
27%
26%
284 243 41 +2
17 Oct. 2020
NAD
Nadezhda Dobroslavtsi
0 - 2
Kyustendil
FKK
45%
27%
28%
282 246 -36 +2
10 Oct. 2020
FKK
Kyustendil
1 - 0
Vihren
VIH
45%
27%
28%
281 394 -113 +1
03 Oct. 2020
BAL
Balkan Botevgrad
0 - 1
Kyustendil
FKK
47%
27%
26%
279 300 21 +1
26 Sep. 2020
FKK
Kyustendil
1 - 1
Slivnishki Geroy
SLI
45%
27%
28%
279 320 -41 0